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Model ARCH (autoregresná podmienená heteroskedasticita)×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×
OdborEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku198220151991
TvorcaRobert F. EngleBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Nelson
TypConditional volatility modelUnivariate time-series modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
Pôvodný zdrojEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeliexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
Príbuzné654
ZhrnutieThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: ARCH model · ARIMA · EGARCH. Získané 2026-06-20 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare