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Teste Q de Ljung-Box para Autocorrelação×Modelo ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Teste LM de Breusch-Godfrey para Correlação Serial×
ÁreaEconometriaEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaHypothesis testRegression modelRegression model
Ano de origem197820151978
Autor originalGreta Ljung & George BoxBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Trevor Breusch & Leslie Godfrey
TipoPortmanteau goodness-of-fit testUnivariate time-series modelLagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation
Fonte seminalLjung, G. M., & Box, G. E. P. (1978). On a measure of lack of fit in time series models. Biometrika, 65(2), 297–303. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Godfrey, L. G. (1978). Testing against general autoregressive and moving average error models when the regressors include lagged dependent variables. Econometrica, 46(6), 1293–1301. DOI ↗
Outros nomesLjung-Box Q Test, Modified Box-Pierce Test, Portmanteau Test for Autocorrelation, Otokorelasyon Portmanteau TestiBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliBG test, LM test for autocorrelation, Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation test, Breusch-Godfrey otokorelasyon testi
Relacionados353
ResumoThe Ljung-Box Q test is a diagnostic portmanteau test proposed by Ljung and Box (1978) to assess whether a group of autocorrelations in a time series residual sequence is jointly zero. It is widely used to evaluate the adequacy of fitted time series models — especially ARIMA models — by testing whether remaining residuals exhibit any systematic pattern. The test is applicable in econometrics, finance, and any field that relies on temporal data modeling.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Breusch-Godfrey test is a Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation in regression residuals, developed independently by Trevor Breusch (1978) and Leslie Godfrey (1978). Unlike the Durbin-Watson test, it detects autocorrelation up to any chosen order p, remains valid when the model includes lagged dependent variables, and produces a definite chi-square p-value rather than an inconclusive region — making it the modern standard for autocorrelation testing.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Ljung-Box Test · ARIMA · Breusch-Godfrey Test. Recuperado em 2026-06-20 de https://scholargate.app/pt/compare