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Robuuste ARCH-model×ARCH-model (Autoregressieve Conditionele Heteroskedasticiteit)×EGARCH-model (Exponentieel GARCH)×Kwantielregressie×
VakgebiedEconometrieEconometrieEconometrieEconometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Jaar van ontstaan2002–2008198219911978
GrondleggerEngle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sRobert F. EngleDaniel B. NelsonKoenker & Bassett
TypeVolatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelConditional volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional quantile regression
Oorspronkelijke bronEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Aliassenrobust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Verwant6665
SamenvattingThe Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateMethoden vergelijken: Robust ARCH model · ARCH model · EGARCH model · Quantile Regression. Geraadpleegd op 2026-06-18 via https://scholargate.app/nl/compare