ScholarGate
Pembantu

Bandingkan kaedah

Semak kaedah pilihan anda secara bersebelahan; baris yang berbeza akan diserlahkan.

Autoregresi Vektor (VAR)×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Model ARMA (Autoregresif Moving Average)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal198019701970
PengasasChristopher A. SimsGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
JenisMultivariate time-series modelTime series forecasting modelTime series model
Sumber perintisSims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
AliasVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregressionARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)ARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
Berkaitan565
RingkasanVector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
ScholarGateSet data
  1. v1
  2. 2 Sumber
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Sumber
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Sumber
  3. PUBLISHED

Pergi ke carian Muat turun slaid

ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Vector Autoregression · ARIMA model · ARMA model. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare