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Autoregresi Vektor (VAR)×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal19801970
PengasasChristopher A. SimsGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
JenisMultivariate time-series modelTime series forecasting model
Sumber perintisSims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
AliasVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregressionARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Berkaitan56
RingkasanVector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Vector Autoregression · ARIMA model. Dicapai 2026-06-15 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare