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Dinamiskais stohastiskais vispārējā līdzsvara (DSGE) modelis×Valsts telpas modelis (Kalmana filtrs)×Vektora autoregresijas (VAR) modelis×
NozareEkonometrijaEkonometrijaEkonometrija
SaimeRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Izcelsmes gads200719902005
AutorsSmets & Wouters; An & Schorfheide (Bayesian DSGE estimation)Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filterLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
TipsMicro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium modelState space time series modelMultivariate time-series model
PirmavotsSmets, F. & Wouters, R. (2007). Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach. American Economic Review, 97(3), 586–606. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
Citi nosaukumiDSGE, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, micro-founded macroeconomic model, Dinamik Stokastik Genel Denge Modeli (DSGE)state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Saistītās544
KopsavilkumsA DSGE model is a micro-founded macroeconomic general equilibrium model that combines the optimising decisions of households, firms, and government under rational expectations. Popularised for empirical policy work by Smets and Wouters (2007) and given its Bayesian estimation framework by An and Schorfheide (2007), it is the standard tool for central-bank policy analysis, fiscal-shock simulation, and the study of business-cycle fluctuations.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateSalīdzināt metodes: DSGE Model · State Space Model · VAR Model. Izgūts 2026-06-18 no https://scholargate.app/lv/compare