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Vector Autoregression (VAR) Model×ARDL 경계 검정 (Pesaran 경계 검정)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20052001
창시자Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric traditionPesaran, Shin & Smith
유형Multivariate time-series modelCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model
원전Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗
별칭vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyonPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)
관련44
요약Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.
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