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Unrestricted MIDAS Regression×DCC-MIDAS×국소 투영법×
분야계량경제학계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression modelRegression model
기원 연도200720132005
창시자Eric GhyselsEngle, Ghysels, and SohnOscar Jorda
유형Time-series regressionTime-varying correlation modelMulti-horizon regression
원전Foroni, C., Ghysels, E., & Marcellino, M. (2015). Mixed-frequency vector autoregressive models. International Journal of Forecasting, 31(4), 1051-1070. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., Ghysels, E., & Sohn, B. (2013). Stock market volatility and macroeconomic fundamentals. Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(3), 776-797. DOI ↗Jorda, O. (2005). Estimation and inference of impulse responses by local projections. American Economic Review, 95(1), 161-182. DOI ↗
별칭Unrestricted Mixed Data SamplingDCC mixed-frequency modelLP-IR, Multi-horizon regression
관련333
요약U-MIDAS (Unrestricted MIDAS) is a regression framework designed to handle mixed-frequency data—when explanatory variables arrive at different sampling frequencies (e.g., monthly GDP mixed with daily stock returns). Introduced by Ghysels and colleagues (2007), it eliminates the restrictive lag-structure polynomial constraints of the original MIDAS approach, allowing fuller use of high-frequency information. This flexibility makes it ideal for nowcasting and real-time economic forecasting.DCC-MIDAS combines dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH with mixed-frequency data sampling (MIDAS), enabling estimation of time-varying correlations between variables when observations arrive at different frequencies. Introduced by Engle et al. (2013), it models how correlations evolve with low-frequency macroeconomic conditions using high-frequency asset price information. This is crucial for portfolio risk management and understanding macro-finance linkages.Local Projections (LP) is a semi-parametric method for estimating impulse responses directly via multi-horizon regressions, bypassing VAR-model specification. Introduced by Jorda (2005), it projects outcomes h periods ahead onto current shocks and lags, producing impulse-response functions without assuming a particular lag structure or VAR order. This flexibility has made it the dominant approach in applied macroeconomics for measuring policy effects and shock transmission.
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