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구조 벡터 자기회귀 (SVAR)×충격반응함수 (Impulse Response Function, IRF)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19802005
창시자Christopher SimsHelmut Lütkepohl
유형Structural multivariate time-series modelPost-estimation diagnostic
원전Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8
별칭Structural VAR, Identified VAR, SVAR Model, Yapısal Vektör OtoregresyonIRF, Dynamic Multiplier, Shock Response Function, Etki Tepki Fonksiyonu
관련23
요약Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) is a multivariate time-series model, developed by Christopher Sims (1980), that extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economically motivated identifying restrictions on contemporaneous relationships among variables. SVAR enables researchers to isolate orthogonal structural shocks and trace their causal dynamic effects through impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions, making it a cornerstone of modern empirical macroeconomics.The Impulse Response Function (IRF) traces the dynamic response of each variable in a Vector Autoregression (VAR) system to a one-unit shock in one of its error terms over a user-specified forecast horizon. It is the primary tool for structural analysis following VAR estimation and is widely used in macroeconomics, monetary economics, and finance to quantify how shocks propagate through interconnected time series systems.
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