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구조적 변동 VAR 모형×벡터 오차 수정 모형 (VECM)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1980–19981987
창시자Bai & Perron (structural breaks); Sims (VAR framework)Robert F. Engle and Clive W. J. Granger
유형Multivariate time series model with regime changeMultivariate time-series model
원전Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗
별칭VAR with structural breaks, break-point VAR, regime-switching VAR, SB-VARVECM, error correction VAR, cointegrated VAR, vector equilibrium correction model
관련65
요약The Structural Break VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework by allowing coefficient matrices and error covariance to shift at one or more unknown break dates. It is designed for multivariate time series where economic relationships change abruptly due to policy shifts, financial crises, or major structural events.The Vector Error Correction Model extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework to a system of variables that share one or more long-run equilibrium relationships. It jointly models short-run dynamics and the speed at which each variable corrects back toward equilibrium after a shock, making it the standard tool for analysing cointegrated multivariate time series.
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