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구조적 변동 VAR 모형×Vector Autoregression (VAR)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1980–19981980
창시자Bai & Perron (structural breaks); Sims (VAR framework)Christopher A. Sims
유형Multivariate time series model with regime changeMultivariate time-series model
원전Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
별칭VAR with structural breaks, break-point VAR, regime-switching VAR, SB-VARVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
관련65
요약The Structural Break VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework by allowing coefficient matrices and error covariance to shift at one or more unknown break dates. It is designed for multivariate time series where economic relationships change abruptly due to policy shifts, financial crises, or major structural events.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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