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구조적 분절 SVAR 모형×구조적 단절을 포함하는 벡터 오차 수정 모형 (SB-VECM)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1980–2000s1996–2000
창시자Sims (1980) for SVAR; structural break extensions developed throughout 1990s–2000sGregory & Hansen (1996); Johansen, Mosconi & Nielsen (2000)
유형Multivariate time-series model with regime changeMultivariate error correction model with structural breaks
원전Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Gregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts. Journal of Econometrics, 70(1), 99–126. DOI ↗
별칭break-SVAR, SVAR with regime change, structural break structural VAR, SB-SVARSB-VECM, VECM with regime shifts, cointegration model with structural breaks, break-augmented VECM
관련65
요약The structural break SVAR model extends the standard Structural Vector Autoregression by allowing one or more discrete shifts in the system's parameters across time. It simultaneously identifies causal (structural) shocks and accounts for regime changes — such as policy shifts, crises, or institutional reforms — that alter the dynamics among multiple time series.The Structural Break VECM extends the standard Vector Error Correction Model to allow the cointegrating relationships, adjustment speeds, or short-run dynamics to shift at one or more known or estimated break dates. It preserves the long-run equilibrium framework of the VECM while explicitly modelling regime changes caused by policy shifts, crises, or institutional changes.
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