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구조적 분절 SVAR 모형×구조적 변동 VAR 모형×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1980–2000s1980–1998
창시자Sims (1980) for SVAR; structural break extensions developed throughout 1990s–2000sBai & Perron (structural breaks); Sims (VAR framework)
유형Multivariate time-series model with regime changeMultivariate time series model with regime change
원전Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗
별칭break-SVAR, SVAR with regime change, structural break structural VAR, SB-SVARVAR with structural breaks, break-point VAR, regime-switching VAR, SB-VAR
관련66
요약The structural break SVAR model extends the standard Structural Vector Autoregression by allowing one or more discrete shifts in the system's parameters across time. It simultaneously identifies causal (structural) shocks and accounts for regime changes — such as policy shifts, crises, or institutional reforms — that alter the dynamics among multiple time series.The Structural Break VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework by allowing coefficient matrices and error covariance to shift at one or more unknown break dates. It is designed for multivariate time series where economic relationships change abruptly due to policy shifts, financial crises, or major structural events.
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