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| 구조적 단절 엔글-그레인저 공적분 검정× | ARDL 경계 검정 (Pesaran 경계 검정)× | 요한센 공적분 검정 및 벡터 오차 수정 모형× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 분야≠ | 계량경제학 | 계량경제학 | 재무학 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 1996 | 2001 | 1991 |
| 창시자≠ | Gregory & Hansen (1996), extending Engle & Granger (1987) | Pesaran, Shin & Smith | Søren Johansen |
| 유형≠ | Cointegration test with structural break | Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model | Multivariate cointegration / vector error correction model |
| 원전≠ | Gregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts. Journal of Econometrics, 70(1), 99-126. link ↗ | Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗ | Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗ |
| 별칭≠ | Gregory-Hansen cointegration test, cointegration with structural break, EG cointegration with regime shift, residual-based cointegration with break | Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test) | Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration |
| 관련≠ | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 요약≠ | The structural break Engle-Granger cointegration test, most commonly implemented via the Gregory-Hansen (1996) procedure, extends the classical Engle-Granger two-step test to allow for a single unknown structural break in the long-run cointegrating relationship. It tests whether two or more integrated series share a common stochastic trend even when that relationship may have shifted at some point in the sample. | The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations. | The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium. |
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