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구조적 변동 EGARCH 모형×TGARCH 모형 (Threshold GARCH)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1990–19911993-1994
창시자Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; Lamoureux and Lastrapes (1990) for break-augmented GARCH variantsZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
유형Volatility model with structural breaksAsymmetric volatility model
원전Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗
별칭SB-EGARCH, EGARCH with regime shifts, break-adjusted EGARCH, structural change EGARCHThreshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
관련56
요약Structural Break EGARCH combines Nelson's Exponential GARCH framework with explicit allowance for one or more structural breaks in the volatility process. By letting the intercept and persistence parameters of the log-variance equation shift at detected break dates, the model avoids the spurious long-memory and inflated persistence that standard EGARCH suffers when the data contain regime changes.The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.
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