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구조적 변동 EGARCH 모형×ARCH 모형 (자기회귀 조건부 이분산성)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1990–19911982
창시자Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; Lamoureux and Lastrapes (1990) for break-augmented GARCH variantsRobert F. Engle
유형Volatility model with structural breaksConditional volatility model
원전Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
별칭SB-EGARCH, EGARCH with regime shifts, break-adjusted EGARCH, structural change EGARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
관련56
요약Structural Break EGARCH combines Nelson's Exponential GARCH framework with explicit allowance for one or more structural breaks in the volatility process. By letting the intercept and persistence parameters of the log-variance equation shift at detected break dates, the model avoids the spurious long-memory and inflated persistence that standard EGARCH suffers when the data contain regime changes.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
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