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구조적 분할 DCC-GARCH 모형×Vector Autoregression (VAR)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2002-20061980
창시자Engle (2002) for DCC; break-augmented extensions by Pelletier (2006) and subsequent literatureChristopher A. Sims
유형Multivariate volatility model with regime changeMultivariate time-series model
원전Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
별칭DCC-GARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted DCC-GARCH, regime-shift DCC-GARCH, SB-DCC-GARCHVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
관련55
요약Structural break DCC-GARCH extends Engle's Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH framework by explicitly allowing the correlation and volatility structure to shift at one or more structural break points in the sample. It models time-varying co-volatility between multiple financial series while accounting for sudden regime changes caused by crises, policy shifts, or market microstructure changes.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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