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구조적 단절 ARDL 경계 검정×ARDL 경계 검정 (Pesaran 경계 검정)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2001–2010s2001
창시자Pesaran, Shin & Smith (bounds framework); structural break extensions by Bahmani-Oskooee, Enders & Jones, and othersPesaran, Shin & Smith
유형Cointegration / bounds testCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model
원전Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗
별칭SB-ARDL bounds test, ARDL bounds test with structural break, Fourier ARDL bounds test, break-augmented bounds testingPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)
관련64
요약The structural break ARDL bounds test extends the Pesaran, Shin and Smith (2001) bounds testing framework to accommodate one or more structural breaks in the long-run relationship between time-series variables. By incorporating break dummies or smooth Fourier terms into the ARDL error-correction equation, it allows researchers to test for cointegration even when the data have experienced shifts in intercept or slope caused by policy changes, crises, or regime switches.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.
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