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평활 전환 자기회귀 (STAR) 모형×ARFIMA: 분수 차분 ARMA 모형×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19941980
창시자Teräsvirta (1994); van Dijk, Teräsvirta & Franses (2002)Granger & Joyeux (1980); Hosking (1981)
유형Nonlinear time-series regime-switching modelLong-memory time series model
원전Teräsvirta, T. (1994). Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89(425), 208–218. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15–29. DOI ↗
별칭smooth transition autoregressive model, LSTAR, ESTAR, logistic STARfractionally integrated ARMA, long-memory time series model, ARFIMA / FIGARCH, fractional differencing model
관련45
요약The Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model is a nonlinear time-series model, developed in Teräsvirta's 1994 framework, that lets the dynamics move smoothly rather than abruptly between two regimes. The logistic variant (LSTAR) captures asymmetric business cycles and the exponential variant (ESTAR) captures purchasing-power-parity deviations.ARFIMA is a time series model that captures long-memory behaviour using a fractional differencing parameter d, generalising the integer differencing of ARIMA. It was introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980) and formalised by Hosking (1981) to describe series whose autocorrelations decay slowly rather than abruptly.
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