방법 비교
선택한 방법을 나란히 검토하세요. 서로 다른 행은 강조 표시됩니다.
| 강건 SARIMA 모형× | SARIMA 모형× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야 | 계량경제학 | 계량경제학 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 1979–2009 | 1970 (first edition); 1976 (revised) |
| 창시자≠ | Muler, Peña & Yohai (robust ARMA); earlier foundation by Denby & Martin (1979) | Box, Jenkins, and Reinsel |
| 유형≠ | Robust time-series model | Seasonal time series model |
| 원전≠ | Muler, N., Peña, D., & Yohai, V. J. (2009). Robust estimation for ARMA models. The Annals of Statistics, 37(2), 816–840. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744 |
| 별칭 | robust SARIMA, outlier-resistant SARIMA, robust seasonal ARIMA, M-estimator SARIMA | SARIMA, seasonal ARIMA, Box-Jenkins seasonal model, ARIMA with seasonal component |
| 관련≠ | 4 | 5 |
| 요약≠ | Robust SARIMA extends the classical Seasonal ARIMA framework by replacing the standard least-squares criterion with a robust loss function — such as an M-estimator — so that outliers and heavy-tailed innovations in seasonal time series cannot distort parameter estimates or invalidate forecasts. | SARIMA extends ARIMA by adding seasonal autoregressive and moving-average operators to capture repeating patterns at fixed intervals — such as monthly, quarterly, or annual cycles. Denoted SARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s, it is the standard workhorse for univariate seasonal time series forecasting in econometrics, economics, and official statistics. |
| ScholarGate데이터셋 ↗ |
|
|