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강건 EGARCH 모형×TGARCH 모형 (Threshold GARCH)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20081993-1994
창시자Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; robust adaptation via Muler & Yohai (2008) and related authorsZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
유형Robust volatility modelAsymmetric volatility model
원전Muler, N., & Yohai, V. J. (2008). Robust estimates for GARCH models. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 138(10), 2918–2940. DOI ↗Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗
별칭Robust EGARCH model, outlier-robust EGARCH, robust exponential GARCH, REGARCHThreshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
관련66
요약Robust EGARCH extends Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH model by replacing standard quasi-maximum likelihood estimation with outlier-resistant procedures — typically bounded-influence or M-estimation — so that a small fraction of extreme observations or data errors cannot distort the estimated volatility dynamics or the leverage effect.The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.
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