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강건 EGARCH 모형×GARCH 모형 (변동성 예측)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20081986
창시자Nelson (1991) for EGARCH; robust adaptation via Muler & Yohai (2008) and related authorsTim Bollerslev
유형Robust volatility modelConditional volatility model
원전Muler, N., & Yohai, V. J. (2008). Robust estimates for GARCH models. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 138(10), 2918–2940. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
별칭Robust EGARCH model, outlier-robust EGARCH, robust exponential GARCH, REGARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
관련65
요약Robust EGARCH extends Nelson's (1991) Exponential GARCH model by replacing standard quasi-maximum likelihood estimation with outlier-resistant procedures — typically bounded-influence or M-estimation — so that a small fraction of extreme observations or data errors cannot distort the estimated volatility dynamics or the leverage effect.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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