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강건 ARMA 모형×강건 OLS (강건 표준 오차를 사용한 OLS)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19861980
창시자Martin & Yohai (1986); broader robust time series literatureHalbert White
유형Robust time series modelLinear regression with robust inference
원전Franses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1-9. link ↗White, H. (1980). A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica, 48(4), 817–838. DOI ↗
별칭robust ARMA, outlier-robust ARMA, M-estimator ARMA, resistant ARMA estimationHC robust regression, White robust OLS, sandwich estimator OLS, OLS with robust standard errors
관련56
요약The Robust ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average framework by replacing the sensitive least-squares loss with outlier-resistant estimation methods — typically M-estimators or median-based approaches. This protects coefficient estimates and forecasts from being distorted by additive outliers, level shifts, or innovational outliers that are common in economic and financial time series.Robust OLS applies ordinary least squares to estimate coefficients and then replaces the classical standard errors with heteroscedasticity-consistent (HC) standard errors — commonly called White standard errors. This leaves the point estimates unchanged while yielding valid t-statistics and confidence intervals even when the error variance is not constant across observations.
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