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로버스트 ARCH 모형×확률적 변동성 모형 (헤스톤)×
분야계량경제학재무학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2002–20081993
창시자Engle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sSteven L. Heston
유형Volatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelContinuous-time stochastic volatility model
원전Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Heston, S. L. (1993). A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options. Review of Financial Studies, 6(2), 327-343. DOI ↗
별칭robust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelHeston model, SV model, continuous-time stochastic volatility, Stokastik Volatilite Modeli (Heston, SV)
관련65
요약The Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The stochastic volatility model is a continuous-time option-pricing and risk framework in which volatility follows its own random process rather than staying constant. The Heston model, introduced by Steven Heston in 1993, gives the variance a mean-reverting square-root (CIR) dynamic and yields a closed-form option price; it is the continuous-time counterpart of GARCH.
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