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로버스트 ARCH 모형×Robust Regression×
분야계량경제학통계학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2002–20081964
창시자Engle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sPeter J. Huber (M-estimation, 1964); Frank Hampel (influence function, 1974)
유형Volatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelRegression with outlier resistance
원전Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Huber, P. J. (1964). Robust estimation of a location parameter. The Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 35(1), 73–101. DOI ↗
별칭robust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelM-estimation regression, robust linear regression, outlier-resistant regression, MM-estimation
관련66
요약The Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.Robust regression estimates the linear relationship between a continuous outcome and predictors while sharply reducing the influence of outliers and leverage points. Unlike OLS, which is highly sensitive to extreme observations, robust methods assign down-weighted influence to atypical data points, producing coefficient estimates that remain stable even when a fraction of the data is contaminated or non-normally distributed.
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