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| 실현 변동성과 HAR 모형× | 확률적 변동성 모형 (헤스톤)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야 | 재무학 | 재무학 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 2009 | 1993 |
| 창시자≠ | Corsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility) | Steven L. Heston |
| 유형≠ | Time-series regression of realized variance | Continuous-time stochastic volatility model |
| 원전≠ | Corsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196. DOI ↗ | Heston, S. L. (1993). A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options. Review of Financial Studies, 6(2), 327-343. DOI ↗ |
| 별칭≠ | realized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RV | Heston model, SV model, continuous-time stochastic volatility, Stokastik Volatilite Modeli (Heston, SV) |
| 관련 | 5 | 5 |
| 요약≠ | Realized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction. | The stochastic volatility model is a continuous-time option-pricing and risk framework in which volatility follows its own random process rather than staying constant. The Heston model, introduced by Steven Heston in 1993, gives the variance a mean-reverting square-root (CIR) dynamic and yields a closed-form option price; it is the continuous-time counterpart of GARCH. |
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