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Phillips-Perron 단위근 검정×ARIMA 모형 (자기회귀 누적 이동평균)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19881970
창시자Peter C. B. Phillips and Pierre PerronGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
유형Hypothesis test (unit root)Time series forecasting model
원전Phillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335–346. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
별칭PP test, PP unit root test, Phillips-Perron test, nonparametric unit root testARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
관련56
요약The Phillips-Perron (PP) test is a nonparametric unit root test for time series that corrects for serial correlation and heteroscedasticity in the error term without adding lagged differences. Introduced by Phillips and Perron (1988), it applies a kernel-based long-run variance estimator to adjust the Dickey-Fuller statistic, making it robust to a wide class of weakly dependent error processes.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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