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Panel GARCH 모형×Vector Autoregression (VAR)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1986 (GARCH); panel extension 1990s–2000s1980
창시자Bollerslev (1986); extended to panel settings in subsequent literatureChristopher A. Sims
유형Volatility modelMultivariate time-series model
원전Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
별칭panel GARCH, GARCH panel model, panel volatility model, panel conditional heteroscedasticity modelVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
관련65
요약The Panel GARCH model extends Bollerslev's (1986) Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework to panel data, allowing conditional variance to evolve over time for each cross-sectional unit. It simultaneously captures unit-level heterogeneity and time-varying volatility clustering, making it the standard tool for modelling risk and uncertainty in multi-entity financial and macroeconomic panels.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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