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Panel GARCH 모형×EGARCH 모형 (Exponential GARCH)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1986 (GARCH); panel extension 1990s–2000s1991
창시자Bollerslev (1986); extended to panel settings in subsequent literatureDaniel B. Nelson
유형Volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance model
원전Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
별칭panel GARCH, GARCH panel model, panel volatility model, panel conditional heteroscedasticity modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
관련66
요약The Panel GARCH model extends Bollerslev's (1986) Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework to panel data, allowing conditional variance to evolve over time for each cross-sectional unit. It simultaneously captures unit-level heterogeneity and time-varying volatility clustering, making it the standard tool for modelling risk and uncertainty in multi-entity financial and macroeconomic panels.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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