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패널 ARMA 모형×Vector Autoregression (VAR)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1980s–2000s1980
창시자Baltagi, Hsiao and related panel data literatureChristopher A. Sims
유형Panel time series modelMultivariate time-series model
원전Baltagi, B. H. (2008). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (4th ed.). John Wiley & Sons. ISBN: 978-0470518861Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
별칭Panel ARMA, ARMA panel model, panel autoregressive moving average, cross-sectional ARMAVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
관련55
요약The Panel ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) framework to panel data, allowing each cross-sectional unit to carry an individual effect while the within-unit error dynamics follow an ARMA(p, q) process. It captures both autocorrelation and moving-average dependence in panel residuals, yielding efficient estimates when the error structure is correctly specified.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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