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패널 ARMA 모형×ARMA 모형 (자기회귀 이동평균)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1980s–2000s1970
창시자Baltagi, Hsiao and related panel data literatureGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
유형Panel time series modelTime series model
원전Baltagi, B. H. (2008). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (4th ed.). John Wiley & Sons. ISBN: 978-0470518861Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
별칭Panel ARMA, ARMA panel model, panel autoregressive moving average, cross-sectional ARMAARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
관련55
요약The Panel ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) framework to panel data, allowing each cross-sectional unit to carry an individual effect while the within-unit error dynamics follow an ARMA(p, q) process. It captures both autocorrelation and moving-average dependence in panel residuals, yielding efficient estimates when the error structure is correctly specified.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
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