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비선형 벡터 오차수정 모형 (Nonlinear VECM)×요한센 공적분 검정 및 벡터 오차 수정 모형×
분야계량경제학재무학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1989–19981991
창시자Granger & Lee (1989); Enders & Granger (1998)Søren Johansen
유형Nonlinear time-series modelMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction model
원전Enders, W., & Granger, C. W. J. (1998). Unit-root tests and asymmetric adjustment with an example using the term structure of interest rates. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 16(3), 304–311. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗
별칭nonlinear VECM, NVECM, threshold VECM, asymmetric VECMJohansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration
관련23
요약The Nonlinear VECM extends the standard linear VECM by allowing the speed of adjustment toward long-run equilibrium to differ depending on the sign, magnitude, or regime of deviations from that equilibrium. It captures asymmetric or threshold-driven dynamics in cointegrated time-series systems that a standard VECM would miss.The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.
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