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비선형 구조 벡터 자기회귀 (NL-SVAR) 모형×Vector Autoregression (VAR)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1990s–2010s1980
창시자Extensions by Koop, Potter, Auerbach, Gorodnichenko and othersChristopher A. Sims
유형Multivariate nonlinear structural time series modelMultivariate time-series model
원전Koop, G., & Korobilis, D. (2010). Bayesian multivariate time series methods for empirical macroeconomics. Foundations and Trends in Econometrics, 3(4), 267–358. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
별칭nonlinear structural VAR, NL-SVAR, threshold SVAR, regime-switching SVARVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
관련65
요약The Nonlinear Structural VAR model extends the standard SVAR framework to allow structural relationships and dynamic responses to vary across economic regimes or states of the world. By imposing nonlinear transition mechanisms — such as threshold switching or smooth regime change — it captures asymmetric responses to shocks that a linear SVAR cannot detect.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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