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비선형 ARCH 모형 (NARCH)×ARCH 모형 (자기회귀 조건부 이분산성)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19921982
창시자Higgins & BeraRobert F. Engle
유형Volatility modelConditional volatility model
원전Higgins, M. L., & Bera, A. K. (1992). A class of nonlinear ARCH models. International Economic Review, 33(1), 137-158. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
별칭NARCH, Nonlinear ARCH, nonlinear conditional heteroscedasticity model, NARCH modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
관련46
요약The Nonlinear ARCH (NARCH) model, introduced by Higgins and Bera (1992), extends Engle's original ARCH framework by allowing the power transformation of volatility to be estimated from the data rather than fixed at two. This flexibility captures a broader class of volatility dynamics observed in financial and macroeconomic time series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
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