방법 비교

	Ljung-Box Q 검정 (Ljung-Box Q Test for Autocorrelation)	ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) 모형	브레우슈-고드프리 LM 검정 (Breusch-Godfrey LM Test for Serial Correlation)
분야	계량경제학	계량경제학	계량경제학
계열	Hypothesis test	Regression model	Regression model
기원 연도	1978	2015	1978
창시자	Greta Ljung & George Box	Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)	Trevor Breusch & Leslie Godfrey
유형	Portmanteau goodness-of-fit test	Univariate time-series model	Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation
원전	Ljung, G. M., & Box, G. E. P. (1978). On a measure of lack of fit in time series models. Biometrika, 65(2), 297–303.	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021	Godfrey, L. G. (1978). Testing against general autoregressive and moving average error models when the regressors include lagged dependent variables. Econometrica, 46(6), 1293–1301.
별칭	Ljung-Box Q Test, Modified Box-Pierce Test, Portmanteau Test for Autocorrelation, Otokorelasyon Portmanteau Testi	Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli	BG test, LM test for autocorrelation, Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation test, Breusch-Godfrey otokorelasyon testi
관련	3	5	3
요약	The Ljung-Box Q test is a diagnostic portmanteau test proposed by Ljung and Box (1978) to assess whether a group of autocorrelations in a time series residual sequence is jointly zero. It is widely used to evaluate the adequacy of fitted time series models — especially ARIMA models — by testing whether remaining residuals exhibit any systematic pattern. The test is applicable in econometrics, finance, and any field that relies on temporal data modeling.	ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).	The Breusch-Godfrey test is a Lagrange-multiplier test for serial correlation in regression residuals, developed independently by Trevor Breusch (1978) and Leslie Godfrey (1978). Unlike the Durbin-Watson test, it detects autocorrelation up to any chosen order p, remains valid when the model includes lagged dependent variables, and produces a definite chi-square p-value rather than an inconclusive region — making it the modern standard for autocorrelation testing.