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요한센 공적분 검정 및 벡터 오차 수정 모형×Vector Autoregression (VAR) Model×
분야재무학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19912005
창시자Søren JohansenLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
유형Multivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelMultivariate time-series model
원전Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
별칭Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
관련34
요약The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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