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Ideal Point Estimation×Manifesto Coding×Wordfish×워드스코어×
분야Political SciencePolitical Science심리측정학심리측정학
계열Latent structureProcess / pipelineLatent structureLatent structure
기원 연도2004200120082003
창시자Clinton, Jackman & Rivers (Bayesian formulation); Poole & Rosenthal (spatial tradition)Manifesto Research Group / Comparative Manifesto Project (CMP/MARPOR)Jonathan Slapin, Svenja-Sophia ProkschMichael Laver, Kenneth Benoit, John Garry
유형Latent-variable spatial model of binary choice dataQuantitative content analysis of party manifestosGenerative text model for dimension reductionText analysis and dimension reduction
원전Clinton, J., Jackman, S., & Rivers, D. (2004). The Statistical Analysis of Roll Call Data. American Political Science Review, 98(2), 355–370. DOI ↗Budge, I., Klingemann, H.-D., Volkens, A., Bara, J., & Tanenbaum, E. (2001). Mapping Policy Preferences: Estimates for Parties, Electors, and Governments 1945–1998. Oxford: Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780199244003Slapin, J. B., & Proksch, S. O. (2008). A scaling model for estimating time-series party positions from texts. Journal of Politics, 70(3), 554-569. DOI ↗Laver, M., Benoit, K., & Garry, J. (2003). Extracting policy positions from political texts using words as data. American Political Science Review, 97(2), 311-331. DOI ↗
별칭Ideal point model, Item response theory for roll calls, Spatial voting model, Bayesian ideal pointsCMP coding, MARPOR coding, Manifesto content analysis, Party manifesto coding
관련4455
요약Ideal point estimation recovers the latent policy positions — ideal points — of political actors from their observed binary choices, most often legislators' yea/nay votes on roll calls. Building on the spatial theory of voting and formalized as a Bayesian item-response model by Clinton, Jackman, and Rivers in 2004, it places each legislator and each bill in a low-dimensional policy space and estimates positions so that the probability a legislator votes yea increases as the bill's 'yea' outcome moves closer to that legislator's ideal point.Manifesto coding is the quantitative content-analysis methodology of the Comparative Manifesto Project (CMP/MARPOR) for measuring parties' policy preferences from their election manifestos. Trained coders break each manifesto into quasi-sentences and assign every unit to one of a fixed set of policy categories. Counting how often each category appears yields salience measures, and combining pro- and anti- categories produces position scores such as the left–right RILE index, giving comparable estimates of party positions across more than fifty democracies since 1945.Wordfish is a statistical model for scaling documents on latent dimensions, developed by Slapin and Proksch (2008). Unlike reference-based methods like Wordscores, Wordfish uses a Poisson generative model to jointly estimate word frequencies and document positions without requiring reference texts or manual annotation. It is particularly useful for estimating time-series changes in policy positions and can scale documents from multiple languages simultaneously.Wordscores is a text-based scaling method developed by Laver, Benoit, and Garry (2003) that estimates the policy positions of political actors based on word frequencies in their texts. By comparing word usage in reference texts of known positions with test texts, the method infers the latent political dimension of any document without requiring manual coding or training data.
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