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푸리에 토다-야마모토(FTY) 인과관계 검정×Vector Autoregression (VAR) Model×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20192005
창시자Yilanci, Ozgur (building on Toda and Yamamoto 1995; Becker, Enders, and Hurn 2004)Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
유형Granger causality testMultivariate time-series model
원전Yilanci, V., & Ozgur, O. (2019). Testing the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality test with an application to energy demand. Energy Economics, 84, 104498. link ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
별칭FTY causality, Fourier TY causality, Toda-Yamamoto causality with Fourier approximation, FTY Granger causalityvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
관련34
요약The Fourier Toda-Yamamoto (FTY) causality test extends the classical Toda-Yamamoto procedure by embedding Fourier trigonometric terms in the augmented VAR to capture smooth, gradual structural breaks in the deterministic component. It retains the key advantage of the Toda-Yamamoto approach — Granger causality can be tested without pre-testing for integration or cointegration order — while dramatically improving size and power when breaks occur.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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