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푸리에 TGARCH 모형×TGARCH 모형 (Threshold GARCH)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1994 / 20121993-1994
창시자Zakoian (1994) for TGARCH; Enders and Lee (2012) for Fourier approximation frameworkZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
유형Volatility model with asymmetric leverage and Fourier smooth breaksAsymmetric volatility model
원전Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗
별칭Fourier TGARCH, Fourier Threshold GARCH, Fourier GJR-GARCH, smooth structural break TGARCHThreshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
관련56
요약The Fourier TGARCH model extends the Threshold GARCH framework by embedding Fourier trigonometric terms in the conditional variance equation to capture smooth, gradual structural breaks in volatility dynamics. It jointly models asymmetric leverage effects — where negative shocks amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude — and time-varying intercept shifts caused by unobserved structural change.The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.
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