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푸리에 TGARCH 모형×DCC-GARCH 모형 (동적 조건부 상관관계)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1994 / 20122002
창시자Zakoian (1994) for TGARCH; Enders and Lee (2012) for Fourier approximation frameworkRobert F. Engle
유형Volatility model with asymmetric leverage and Fourier smooth breaksMultivariate volatility model
원전Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
별칭Fourier TGARCH, Fourier Threshold GARCH, Fourier GJR-GARCH, smooth structural break TGARCHDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
관련55
요약The Fourier TGARCH model extends the Threshold GARCH framework by embedding Fourier trigonometric terms in the conditional variance equation to capture smooth, gradual structural breaks in volatility dynamics. It jointly models asymmetric leverage effects — where negative shocks amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude — and time-varying intercept shifts caused by unobserved structural change.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.
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