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푸리에 SARIMA 모형×푸리에 VAR 모형×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19942010s
창시자Harvey & Scott (1994); Hyndman & Athanasopoulos (popularization)Enders & Lee; extended by Nazlioglu and others to VAR systems
유형Seasonal time series model with trigonometric regressorsMultivariate time-series model
원전Harvey, A., & Scott, A. (1994). Seasonality in dynamic regression models. The Economic Journal, 104(427), 1324-1345. link ↗Enders, W., & Lee, J. (2012). A unit root test using a Fourier series to approximate smooth breaks. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 74(4), 574-599. DOI ↗
별칭Fourier SARIMA, SARIMA with Fourier terms, Fourier-SARIMA, trigonometric SARIMAFourier VAR, smooth structural break VAR, trigonometric VAR, Fourier-augmented VAR
관련66
요약The Fourier SARIMA model extends the classical Seasonal ARIMA framework by incorporating trigonometric (Fourier) terms as deterministic regressors. This allows the model to approximate smooth, complex, or multiple-frequency seasonal patterns without requiring a full seasonal ARIMA structure for every frequency, making it particularly useful for high-frequency data or series with non-integer or evolving seasonality.The Fourier VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression by replacing fixed deterministic terms with Fourier trigonometric components, allowing the intercept (and optionally the trend) to shift gradually and smoothly over time. This eliminates the need to pre-specify the number, timing, or shape of structural breaks in a multivariate time-series system.
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