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푸리에 ARMA 모형×푸리에 ARDL 경계 검정×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2004–20062001-2021
창시자Becker, Enders, and HurnPesaran, Shin & Smith (ARDL foundation); Fourier extension by Nazlioglu and related authors
유형Time series model with smooth structural changeCointegration / bounds test
원전Becker, R., Enders, W., & Hurn, S. (2006). A general test for time dependence in parameters. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 21(7), 1005–1028. link ↗Nazlioglu, S., Gormus, A., & Soytas, U. (2021). Oil prices and monetary policy in emerging markets: structural breaks, asymmetries, and Fourier approximations. Energy Economics, 95, 105119. link ↗
별칭Fourier ARMA, ARMA with Fourier terms, trigonometric ARMA, smooth structural change ARMAFourier ARDL, Fourier bounds testing, ARDL with Fourier approximation, F-ARDL cointegration test
관련55
요약The Fourier ARMA model augments the classical Autoregressive Moving Average framework with low-frequency Fourier (sine and cosine) terms to capture smooth, gradual shifts in the mean or trend of a time series. Unlike dummy-variable approaches, it requires no prior knowledge of when structural change occurred, approximating change with flexible trigonometric functions.The Fourier ARDL bounds test augments the Pesaran-Shin-Smith cointegration framework with trigonometric (Fourier) terms that capture gradual, smooth structural breaks in the data-generating process. It tests for a long-run level relationship between variables without requiring the researcher to specify the number, timing, or form of structural breaks in advance.
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