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사건 연구 (CAR 및 BHAR)×VaR 백테스팅×
분야재무학재무학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19971998
창시자MacKinlay (review); Kothari & Warner (econometrics)Kupiec (1995); Christoffersen (1998); Engle & Manganelli (DQ test)
유형Abnormal-return model for financial eventsStatistical hypothesis tests on VaR violation sequences
원전MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). Event Studies in Economics and Finance. Journal of Economic Literature, 35(1), 13–39. link ↗Kupiec, P. H. (1995). Techniques for Verifying the Accuracy of Risk Measurement Models. The Journal of Derivatives, 3(2), 73-84. DOI ↗
별칭event study, cumulative abnormal return analysis, abnormal return analysis, CARVaR backtest, Kupiec test, Christoffersen test, Dynamic Quantile test
관련43
요약The event study is a financial research method that measures the impact of a news release, policy change, or corporate event on asset prices through cumulative abnormal returns. Reviewed by MacKinlay (1997) and formalised econometrically by Kothari and Warner (2007), it is the standard tool for testing the efficient-market hypothesis and analysing the information content of events.VaR backtesting is a family of statistical tests that validate a risk model by comparing its Value-at-Risk forecasts against realised losses. It builds on Kupiec's (1995) unconditional coverage test, Christoffersen's (1998) conditional coverage test, and the Engle-Manganelli Dynamic Quantile (DQ) test.
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