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분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20102010
창시자Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010); dynamic extensions by Abadie (2021) and othersAlberto Abadie, Alexis Diamond & Jens Hainmueller
유형Comparative case study / counterfactual estimationCausal inference / panel data
원전Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗
별칭Dynamic SCM, Time-varying synthetic control, Multi-period synthetic control, DSCSCM panel, panel synthetic control, synthetic control estimator, comparative case study
관련55
요약The Dynamic Synthetic Control Method extends the classic synthetic control framework to evaluate treatments that unfold over multiple periods or change in intensity over time. It constructs a weighted combination of untreated units that matches the treated unit in pre-treatment outcomes, then traces the full time path of treatment effects period by period after the intervention — capturing not just an average effect but how the effect evolves dynamically.The panel data synthetic control method estimates the causal effect of an intervention on a single treated unit by constructing a data-driven weighted combination of untreated units — a synthetic control — that best reproduces the treated unit's pre-treatment outcome trajectory. The post-treatment gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart is the estimated treatment effect.
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