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DCC-GARCH 모형 (동적 조건부 상관관계)×ARCH 모형 (자기회귀 조건부 이분산성)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20021982
창시자Robert F. EngleRobert F. Engle
유형Multivariate volatility modelConditional volatility model
원전Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
별칭DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
관련56
요약The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
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