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CUSUM 검정: 회귀 모형에서 모수 불안정성 탐지×Quandt-Andrews 검정 (알 수 없는 구조적 변화)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Hypothesis testHypothesis test
기원 연도19751993
창시자Brown, Durbin & EvansDonald Andrews
유형Recursive residual testSupremum test for structural change
원전Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 37(2), 149–192. DOI ↗Andrews, D. W. K. (1993). Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point. Econometrica, 61(4), 821–856. DOI ↗
별칭Cumulative Sum Test, CUSUMSQ Test, Brown-Durbin-Evans Test, Kümülatif Toplam Testisup-Wald Test, Andrews Breakpoint Test, Unknown Structural Break Test, Quandt Likelihood Ratio Test
관련33
요약The CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) and CUSUMSQ (Cumulative Sum of Squares) tests, introduced by Brown, Durbin, and Evans (1975), assess whether the coefficients of a linear regression model remain constant over time. They are standard tools in econometrics for detecting structural breaks, policy shifts, or regime changes in time-series data without requiring prior knowledge of when a break occurs.The Quandt-Andrews test, formalized by Andrews (1993), detects structural breaks in regression parameters when the breakpoint date is unknown a priori. It sweeps all candidate break dates within a trimmed interior of the sample, computes a Wald (or LM/LR) statistic at each candidate, and reports the supremum of those statistics. Applied economists and time-series analysts use it to test whether coefficients remain stable across a full estimation window without needing to specify when the break occurred.
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