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Copula CDO 모형×Merton 부도 모형×
분야금융공학금융공학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20001974
창시자David X. LiRobert C. Merton
유형Credit Portfolio ModelCredit Risk Model
원전Li, D. X. (2000). On default correlation: A copula function approach. Journal of Fixed Income, 9(4), 43-54. DOI ↗Merton, R. C. (1974). On the pricing of corporate debt: The risk structure of interest rates. Journal of Finance, 29(2), 449-470. DOI ↗
별칭Copula Default Model, CDO PricingStructural Credit Model, Asset-to-Equity Model
관련33
요약The copula CDO model (Li 2000) uses Gaussian copulas to price collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) by modeling joint default probabilities across a portfolio of bonds. The model became the industry standard for CDO pricing but was heavily criticized post-2008 for underestimating tail risk and correlation breakdowns during crises.The Merton model (1974) is a structural approach to credit risk in which a firm defaults when its asset value falls below liabilities at maturity. Equity is viewed as a call option on firm value, and debt is an implicit short put position. The model links company fundamentals (asset volatility) to default probability and is foundational for modern credit risk measurement.
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