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공적분 검정 (요한센 / 엥글-그레인저)×그랜저 인과성 검정×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19881969
창시자Engle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988)Clive W. J. Granger
유형Time-series cointegration testTime-series predictive causality test
원전Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗
별칭Johansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger)Granger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
관련55
요약The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988).The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.
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