방법 비교

	Bayesian TGARCH (Threshold GARCH with Bayesian Estimation)	DCC-GARCH 모형 (동적 조건부 상관관계)
분야	계량경제학	계량경제학
계열	Regression model	Regression model
기원 연도	1994 / 2008	2002
창시자	Zakoian (1994) for TGARCH; Bayesian estimation formalized by Ardia (2008)	Robert F. Engle
유형	Volatility model with asymmetric threshold and Bayesian inference	Multivariate volatility model
원전	Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955.	Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350.
별칭	Bayesian TGARCH, Bayesian GJR-GARCH, Threshold GARCH with Bayesian estimation, TGARCH-B	DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
관련	6	5
요약	Bayesian TGARCH combines the Threshold GARCH volatility model — which captures the asymmetric response of volatility to positive versus negative shocks — with full Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. The result is a principled, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling leverage effects and fat-tailed financial returns.	The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.