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베이지안 NARDL: 베이지안 추정을 이용한 비선형 ARDL×베이지안 ARDL 경계 검정×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2014 (NARDL); Bayesian extension c. 2015–20202001 (ARDL); Bayesian extension 2010s
창시자Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (NARDL base); Bayesian extension developed in subsequent applied literaturePesaran, Shin & Smith (ARDL framework, 2001); Bayesian adaptation by subsequent literature
유형Nonlinear cointegrating model with Bayesian inferenceCointegration / bounds testing
원전Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. DOI ↗
별칭Bayesian NARDL, Bayesian nonlinear ARDL, Bayesian asymmetric ARDL, B-NARDLBayesian ARDL, Bayesian bounds testing approach, Bayes ARDL cointegration, Bayesian PSS bounds test
관련65
요약Bayesian NARDL combines the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag framework of Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) with Bayesian posterior inference. It models asymmetric long-run cointegration — allowing positive and negative shocks to a regressor to have different equilibrium effects — while incorporating prior knowledge and producing full posterior distributions over all parameters, including the asymmetry gap.The Bayesian ARDL Bounds Test extends the classical Pesaran-Shin-Smith (2001) bounds testing approach to cointegration by embedding it within a Bayesian inferential framework. Instead of relying on frequentist F- and t-statistics with tabulated critical values, the researcher specifies prior distributions on the model parameters and derives posterior evidence of a long-run level relationship between variables that may be integrated of order zero or one.
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ScholarGate방법 비교: Bayesian NARDL · Bayesian ARDL Bounds Test. 2026-06-17에 다음에서 검색함: https://scholargate.app/ko/compare